Dear Trader,尊敬的交易者,

The US election is set to begin tomorrow, Tuesday the 8th November. This is the most important market event since Brexit and the potential impact on markets is significant.

美國大選將於11月8日开始。這是繼英國退歐後最爲重要的市場事件,對市場的潛在影響將尤爲顯著。

The consensus普遍輿論

A Clinton win means certainty and generally a risk on attitude in markets, equities higher, USD stronger and a rate rise in December, i.e. the status quo continues..

如果希拉裏.克林頓贏得大選將意味着市場存在一定確定性和一般風險,股市走高,美元走強,12月美國可能加息,即維持現狀。A Trump win will mean uncertainty and a risk off attitude in markets, higher volatility, equities lower, USD weaker anda temporary hold on future rate rises in the US.

如果特朗普贏得大選將意味着市場充滿了不確定性和風險,更高的市場波動,股市走低,美元走弱以及美國可能暫停加息。

Voting and results schedule (platform time GMT 2)

投票和結果公布時間安排(平台時間 GMT 2)

Tuesday 8th November 

11月8日 星期二07:00 – 

Voting begins 07:00 – 投票开始

13:00 – The majority of polls are open across the US

 13:00 – 美國大部分投票結果公布

23:00 – Results from exit polls are released and early predictions made 

23:00 – 選後民意調查結果公布,初步預測大選結果

Wednesday 9th November 11月9日 星期三

00:00 – Results coming in state by state 

00:00 – 公布各州投票結果

03:00 – Suspense building..! 03:00 – 懸念繼續!

 06:00 – This is the likely earliest time for a winner to be announced 06:00 – 宣布美國新任總統 

How to prepare如何應對市場風險?

Clients are advised to use extreme caution for the duration of the US election. The election has the potential for high volatility as the market prices in the results throughout the day.

建議客戶在美國大選期間更要謹慎交易。大選全天的結果都有可能造成市場價格的大幅波動。

Increase capitalisation – Top up your funds in case margins are increased on products that you are trading and to prepare for the higher volatility.

提高账戶可用資金—入金充足以防交易產品保證金提高,並可應對市場價格的大幅波動。

Decrease exposure – Periods of heightened volatility demand lower exposure. Lower exposure will allow positions to move more out of the money without exceeding your defined risk limits. Also consider further limiting exposure to or ceasing trading on products that will be most affected by the election.

降低風險敞口—較強市場波動時期要求降低風險暴露(降低持倉)。較低的倉位可以使您的資金虧損幅度不會超過您定義的風險額度。如果想要進一步降低風險暴露,可以暫停交易受大選影響最大的交易產品。

Use stop losses and wider stops – Using stops in the markets has never been more crucial. Unexpected moves are likely during the election, so make sure to protect positions with fixed stop losses.

使用止損並設置較寬的止損—在市場交易中使用止損非常關鍵。尤其是在可能出現較大市場波動的大選期間,因此請確認倉位設置了固定止損以保證倉位免於重大損失。(請了解,由於流動性原因,止損並不能完全鎖定風險,可能會由於行情走勢造成過大滑點。)

Hedged accounts – Traders who have hedged positions (long and short the same product) should be wary that wide spreads may result in a margin call and or stop out

鎖倉—持有鎖倉的客戶(同時持有某一種產品的空單和多單)應該明白點差擴大可能造成保證金預警或者爆倉。具體細節參考:http://www.icmarketsasia.com/html/Risk_Declaration/Risk_Declaration_688.html

【因此如果鎖倉需要將账戶完全對鎖,且不留有任何即便鎖倉也佔用保證金的產品(如黃金)(確保預付款爲0)。同時爲了避免止盈止損的執行使得账戶失去完全對鎖功能,建議鎖倉時盡量不要設置止盈止損,除非您擁有充足的可用保證金。 

建議在此期間暫停交易,如果一定要交易,請在交易前查看風險聲明,以確定您在交易中能正確的理解各項訂單執行的結果。風險聲明:http://www.icmarketsasia.com/html/icmarkets/youmustknow/Risk_Declaration/

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